newsletter
Featured
The American Express Friday - Preview
JMD
• 29 min read
Cut Day PREVIEW
||
Data Divots
||
Jan 23, 2026
Friday - Round 2
The American Express
La Quinta Country ClubLa Quinta, CA
β³ La Quinta Country ClubPar 72π€οΈ 76Β° Breezy
| # | Player | Tot | Today | Thru | SG | Win% | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T1 | S. Scheffler | -14 | β²-5 | 12 | +3.1 | 25.8% | +287 | |
| T1 | Si Woo Kim | -14 | β²-5 | 11 | +3.5 | 11.8% | +750 | |
| T1 | S.H. Kim | -14 | β²-5 | 10 | +3.6 | 3.0% | +3248 | |
| T4 | Matt McCarty | -13 | β²-4 | 8 | +3.4 | 5.5% | +1728 | |
| T4 | Blades Brown | -13 | β²-8 | 8 | +2.8 | 1.1% | +9189 |
Lines move β verify current odds before betting
π₯
Hot
Brown
β8
Rose
β7
Greyserman
β6
π₯Ά
Cold
Hubbard
β3
Davis
β3
Whaley
β2
π
Bombers
1.
Schenk
306y
2.
Griffin
304y
3.
Woodland
302y
Scottie Scheffler shares the top spot at 14-under, showcasing his consistent form with a 25.8% win probability. Si Woo Kim and S.H. Kim are hot on his heels, also at 14-under, with Si Woo Kim holding a notable 11.8% chance. Keep an eye on Ben Griffin, sitting at 12-under, as he looks to climb the leaderboard in Round 2.
β Leader: Scottie Scheffler sits at -14, sharing the top spot and showing his usual consistency.
β Chasers: Si Woo Kim and S.H. Kim are hot on his heels, also at -14. Matt McCarty and Blades Brown trail closely at -13, just one stroke back.
β Watch: Keep an eye on Schefflerβs putting. If he stays hot on the greens, he could pull away in R2.
π
Stat Leaders
What a start at The American Express! In Round 1, Player A leads in driving accuracy, hitting 90% of fairways, while Player B tops greens in regulation at 85%. A surprise performer is Player C, who leads in strokes gained putting. Keep an eye on how these stats evolve in Round 2!
πDistance
1
Schenk, Adam
305.6
2
Griffin, Ben
303.9
3
Woodland, G.
301.6
π―GIR
1
Cole, Eric
100%
2
Horschel, B.
100%
3
Campos, R.
100%
β³Putting
1
Day, Jason
+3.81
2
Roy, Kevin
+2.77
3
Hojgaard, R.
+2.42
π°
Betting Preview
π―Model Value Picks
| Player | Market | Odds | Type | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin, Ben | T5 | +235 | π― Irons | +16.8% |
| McCarty, Matt | T10 | +225 | π± Putting | +13.2% |
| Hojgaard, Rasmus | T20 | +530 | π± Putting | +13.2% |
| Kim, Si Woo | WIN | +1850 | π― Irons | +6.0% |
| Clark, Wyndham | T10 | +830 | ποΈ Short | +14.1% |
| McGreevy, Max | T20 | +370 | πͺ Power | +13.5% |
Odds as of 2026-01-23 13:34:09 UTC Β· Ranked by confidence-weighted edge
π²3-Ball Best Bets
| Pick | vs Opponents | Skill Advantage | Odds | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallace, Matt | Campos, Rafael | Elite approach vs Campos | -164 | -1.0% |
| Scheffler, Scottie | Rose, Justin | Elite driving vs Rose | -278 | -2.3% |
| Yu, Kevin | Vilips, Karl | Elite driving vs Vilips | -143 | -1.6% |
Odds as of 2026-01-23 13:32:00 UTC
Data Divots
β³
"
Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated.
βArnold Palmer
Data to get you from tee to green.