The American Express - Friday Recap
Data-driven friday recap for the The American Express.
JMD
• 30 min read
Cut Day RECAP
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Data Divots
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Jan 23, 2026
Friday - Round 2
The American Express
La Quinta Country ClubLa Quinta, CA
⛳ La Quinta Country ClubPar 72🌤️ 76° Breezy
| # | Player | Tot | Today | Thru | SG | Win% | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T1 | S. Scheffler | -17 | ▲-8 | F | +3.8 | 30.9% | +223 | |
| T1 | Blades Brown | -17 | ▲-12 | F | +3.8 | 2.7% | +3601 | |
| 3 | Si Woo Kim | -16 | ▲-7 | F | +4.3 | 18.2% | +449 | |
| T4 | Matt McCarty | -15 | ▲-6 | 17 | +2.8 | 2.1% | +4626 | |
| T4 | S.H. Kim | -15 | ▲-6 | F | +2.8 | 1.1% | +9114 | |
| T6 | Jacob Bridgeman | -14 | ▲-6 | F | +3.3 | 4.1% | +2324 | |
| T6 | Wyndham Clark | -14 | ▲-8 | F | +3.3 | 4.1% | +2335 | |
| T6 | Harris English | -14 | ▲-7 | 15 | +2.7 | 2.7% | +3610 | |
| T6 | Eric Cole | -14 | ▲-6 | F | +3.3 | 2.6% | +3781 | |
| T6 | Rickie Fowler | -14 | ▲-9 | F | +2.3 | 1.5% | +6714 |
Lines move — verify current odds before betting
🚀Distance
1
Griffin, Ben
304.2
2
Woodland, G.
301.6
3
Brennan, M.
299.6
🎯GIR
1
Svensson, J.
100%
2
Ewart, A.J.
94%
3
Coody, P.
92%
⛳Putting
1
Day, Jason
+3.81
2
Hojgaard, R.
+3.59
3
Roy, Kevin
+2.77
🔥
Hot
Brown
↑12
Putnam
↑12
Fowler
↑9
🥶
Cold
Hubbard
↓6
Landry
↓5
Lower
↓3
Scheffler shines at -17! Scottie Scheffler shares the lead at The American Express, tied with Blades Brown. Scheffler's win probability is a commanding 30.9%, setting him as the favorite heading into the weekend. Si Woo Kim is hot on their heels, just one stroke back at -16 with an 18.2% chance to win. The cut line fell at -10, with notable names like Rickie Fowler and Harris English comfortably inside at -14. It's a tight race, with several contenders poised to make moves in the final rounds. What a weekend we have ahead!
📊
SG Insights
- Si Woo Kim leads in SG Total! With a stellar +4.33, he's setting the pace and showing why he's a force to be reckoned with.
- Jason Day dominates on the greens. His SG Putting of +3.81 is making all the difference, showcasing his touch with the flatstick.
- Zecheng Dou shines in approach play. A remarkable +3.77 in SG Approach highlights his precision with the irons.
📊Strokes Gained Leaders
| Category | Leader | Value |
|---|---|---|
| SG Total | Kim, Si Woo | +4.33 |
| SG Putting | Day, Jason | +3.81 |
| SG Approach | Dou, Zecheng | +3.77 |
| SG Off-Tee | Woodland, Gary | +1.86 |
🏌️
Weekend Outlook
CUT: -10 | 73 advance
NOTABLE MC: No significant upsets at the cut line.
LEADER: Scheffler, Scottie at -17
R3 KEY: It's a tight race at the top with Scottie Scheffler and Blades Brown tied at -17. Watch for Si Woo Kim, just one stroke back at -16, to make a move. The par-70 layout is primed for low scores, and with 73 players advancing, it's anyone's game. Scheffler's consistency will be tested as the pressure mounts on Moving Day.
1. Scheffler's Charge
Scottie Scheffler holds the top spot at 17-under with a 30.9% win probability. Can he maintain his lead and convert it into a victory this weekend?
2. Rookie SensationBlades Brown is tied for the lead at 17-under but with only a 2.7% win probability. Will the rookie surprise with a breakthrough performance?
3. Rickie's ResurgenceRickie Fowler sits at 14-under, tied for sixth. With a 1.5% win probability, can the fan favorite climb the leaderboard and capture the title?
Data Divots
⛳
"
Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated.
—Arnold Palmer
Data to get you from tee to green.